Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 41.89%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.5%) and 0-2 (6.1%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 2-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen of the South would win this match.