Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Teplice win with a probability of 45.36%. A win for Viktoria Plzen had a probability of 30.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Teplice win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Viktoria Plzen win was 1-2 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Teplice would win this match.