Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 41.45%. A win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 33.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest FC Winterthur win was 1-0 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.