Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 43.84%. A win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 32.33% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.83%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest FC Winterthur win was 2-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luzern would win this match.