Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 52.93%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 21.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.46%) and 1-2 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 1-0 (7.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.