Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lechia Gdansk win with a probability of 38.88%. A win for Chrobry Glogow had a probability of 35.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lechia Gdansk win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Chrobry Glogow win was 1-0 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lechia Gdansk would win this match.