Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 63.93%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 13.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.2%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Spennymoor Town win it was 0-1 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kidderminster Harriers would win this match.
-0.14) 
0.23) 
