Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 68.62%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 12.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.77%), while for a Sint-Truiden win it was 0-1 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.