Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Sint-Truiden win was 1-0 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.
