Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 44.12%. A win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 30.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Sint-Truiden win was 0-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mechelen would win this match.
