Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 47.72%. A win for Cercle Brugge had a probability of 28.51% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Cercle Brugge win was 1-2 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
