Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 62.64%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Eupen had a probability of 16.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.18%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a Eupen win it was 0-1 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.
