

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 69.26%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Cove Rangers had a probability of 12.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for a Cove Rangers win it was 0-1 (4.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Falkirk | Draw | Cove Rangers |
| 69.26% ( | 18.5% ( | 12.25% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.83% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.47% ( | 42.53% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.07% ( | 64.93% ( |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.84% ( | 11.16% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 64.37% ( | 35.63% ( |
| Cove Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.96% ( | 45.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 19.04% ( | 80.96% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Falkirk | Draw | Cove Rangers |
| 2-0 @ 12.08% ( 1-0 @ 11.02% ( 2-1 @ 9.64% ( 3-0 @ 8.83% ( 3-1 @ 7.05% ( 4-0 @ 4.84% ( 4-1 @ 3.86% ( 3-2 @ 2.81% ( 5-0 @ 2.12% ( 5-1 @ 1.69% ( 4-2 @ 1.54% ( Other @ 3.76% Total : 69.25% | 1-1 @ 8.79% ( 0-0 @ 5.03% ( 2-2 @ 3.85% ( Other @ 0.84% Total : 18.5% | 0-1 @ 4.01% ( 1-2 @ 3.51% ( 0-2 @ 1.6% ( 2-3 @ 1.02% ( 1-3 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 1.18% Total : 12.25% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 21 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 51 | 13 | 38 | 53 |
| 2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 13 | 30 | 44 |
| 3 | Cove Rangers | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 33 |
| 4 | Montrose | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 26 |
| 5 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 26 |
| 6 | Kelty Hearts | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
| 7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
| 8 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 22 |
| 9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 42 | -18 | 13 |
| 10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 20 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 10 |
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