Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 48.01%. A win for Union SG had a probability of 27.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Union SG win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
FC Twente	Draw	Union SG
48.01% ( 0.09)	24.76% ( 0.01)	27.23% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 54.56% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.95% (

-0.11)

48.05% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.78% (

-0.1)

70.22% (

0.1)

FC Twente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.94% (

-0.01)

20.06% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.71% (

-0.01)

52.29% (

0.01)

Union SG Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.26% (

-0.13)

31.74% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.83% (

-0.15)

68.17% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

FC Twente 48%

Union SG 27.23%

Draw 24.75%

FC Twente	Draw	Union SG
1-0 @ 10.22% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.05% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.03% 4-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 2.84% Total : 48%	1-1 @ 11.73% 0-0 @ 6.37% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.75%	0-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.74% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.74% Total : 27.23%