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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 37.48%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 33.99% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.79%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Barrow win was 0-1 (11.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Barrow |
37.48% (![]() | 28.53% (![]() | 33.99% (![]() |
Both teams to score 46.12% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.74% (![]() | 60.26% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.56% (![]() | 80.44% (![]() |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.05% (![]() | 30.95% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.75% (![]() | 67.25% (![]() |
Barrow Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.79% (![]() | 33.21% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.18% (![]() | 69.82% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Barrow |
1-0 @ 12.05% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.79% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.07% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.05% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.76% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.68% ( ![]() Other @ 3.08% Total : 37.48% | 1-1 @ 13.28% 0-0 @ 10.27% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.3% ( ![]() Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.52% | 0-1 @ 11.32% 1-2 @ 7.32% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.25% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.69% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.3% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.58% ( ![]() Other @ 2.52% Total : 33.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 46 | 24 | 12 | 10 | 73 | 50 | 23 | 84 |
P | Port Vale | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 80 |
P | Bradford CityBradford | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 64 | 45 | 19 | 78 |
4 | Walsall | 46 | 21 | 14 | 11 | 75 | 54 | 21 | 77 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 20 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 35 | 21 | 73 |
6 | Notts County | 46 | 20 | 12 | 14 | 68 | 49 | 19 | 72 |
7 | Chesterfield | 46 | 19 | 13 | 14 | 73 | 54 | 19 | 70 |
8 | Salford City | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 64 | 54 | 10 | 69 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 46 | 20 | 8 | 18 | 61 | 67 | -6 | 68 |
10 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 46 | 16 | 19 | 11 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 67 |
11 | Bromley | 46 | 17 | 15 | 14 | 64 | 59 | 5 | 66 |
12 | Swindon TownSwindon | 46 | 15 | 17 | 14 | 71 | 63 | 8 | 62 |
13 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 46 | 15 | 17 | 14 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 62 |
14 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 60 |
15 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 60 | 70 | -10 | 60 |
16 | BarrowBarrow | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 52 | 50 | 2 | 59 |
17 | Gillingham | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 58 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 43 | 61 | -18 | 53 |
19 | MK Dons | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 52 | 66 | -14 | 52 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 46 | 12 | 15 | 19 | 45 | 65 | -20 | 51 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 46 | 12 | 14 | 20 | 53 | 69 | -16 | 50 |
22 | Newport CountyNewport | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 52 | 76 | -24 | 49 |
R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 42 |
R | Morecambe | 46 | 10 | 6 | 30 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 36 |
> League Two Full Table |