Peterborough3 - 2Cheltenham
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, February 2 at 3pm in League One
for
Saturday, February 1 at 12.30pm in League Two
for
We said: Peterborough United 2-1 Cheltenham Town
While the visitors certainly head into the cup tie with more momentum than their hosts and will be confident of pulling off an upset, we still see Peterborough United's superior quality shining through in a tight game and back the defending champions to progress to the semi-final. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 52.8%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 24.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-2 (6.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Peterborough United | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
52.8% ( -0.48) | 23.1% ( 0.42) | 24.1% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 57% ( -1.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
