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Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 28
Jan 25, 2025 at 3pm UK
LNER Stadium
Peterborough United

Lincoln
5 - 1
Peterborough

Jefferies (12'), Bayliss (33'), Draper (55' pen.), Hayes (66' og.), Collins (82')
Bayliss (39'), O'Connor (73')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Jade-Jones (60')
Johnston (37'), De Havilland (56'), Susoho (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Northampton 0-1 Lincoln
Saturday, January 18 at 2pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 1-1 Exeter
Tuesday, January 21 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Lincoln City 1-2 Peterborough United

Given Peterborough's dire defensive record, Lincoln are likely to score at some point on Saturday. However, considering the Imps struggled against Northampton, they could be overpowered by the Posh and may find it difficult to recover should they concede more than once. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 46.73%. A win for Peterborough United had a probability of 28.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Peterborough United win was 0-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawPeterborough United
46.73% (0.183 0.18) 25.15% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07) 28.12% (-0.111 -0.11)
Both teams to score 53.99% (0.15 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.88% (0.23 0.23)49.12% (-0.225 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.81% (0.208 0.21)71.19% (-0.203 -0.2)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.96% (0.179 0.18)21.04% (-0.173 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.16% (0.273 0.27)53.84% (-0.26799999999999 -0.27)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.38% (0.037000000000006 0.04)31.62% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.97% (0.042000000000002 0.04)68.03% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 46.73%
    Peterborough United 28.12%
    Draw 25.15%
Lincoln CityDrawPeterborough United
1-0 @ 10.37% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.31% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.08% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.84% (0.036 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.2% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.78% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.88% (0.024 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.64% (0.019 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.08% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 46.73%
1-1 @ 11.94% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.65% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.36% (0.017 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.15%
0-1 @ 7.66% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-2 @ 6.87% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.41% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.06% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.69% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 28.12%

How you voted: Lincoln vs Peterborough

Lincoln City
62.5%
Draw
12.5%
Peterborough United
25.0%
16
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 6
Peterborough
1-1
Lincoln
Poku (65')
Collins (44'), Curtis (60'), Sparkes (90+7')
House (33')
Darikwa (52')
Jan 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 30
Lincoln
0-0
Peterborough
Hackett (21')
Ferguson (22'), Burrows (90+4')
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Peterborough
2-0
Lincoln
Ajiboye (52'), Randall (83')
Ajiboye (90+3')

Roughan (45'), Mandroiu (57')
Mar 18, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 37
Lincoln
0-3
Peterborough
Clarke-Harris (28'), Taylor (67'), Ward (83')
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Peterborough
4-0
Lincoln
Marriott (21', 50'), Clarke-Harris (29' pen., 43')
Kent (35')

O'Connor (28'), Garrick (40')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBirmingham CityBirmingham463493843153111
3Stockport CountyStockport462512972423087
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4625101167432485
5Wycombe WanderersWycombe4624121070452584
6Leyton Orient462461672482478
7Reading4621121368571175
8Bolton WanderersBolton46208186770-368
9Blackpool4617161372601267
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46197205855364
11Lincoln CityLincoln461613176456861
12Barnsley461710196973-461
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham461611195459-559
14Stevenage461512194250-857
15Wigan AthleticWigan461317164042-256
16Exeter CityExeter461511204965-1656
17Mansfield TownMansfield46159226073-1354
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough461312216881-1351
19Northampton TownNorthampton461215194866-1851
20Burton Albion461114214966-1747
RCrawley TownCrawley461210245783-2646
RBristol Rovers46127274476-3243
RCambridge UnitedCambridge46911264573-2838
RShrewsbury TownShrewsbury4689294179-3833


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