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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Barrow
League Two | Gameweek 31
Feb 8, 2025 at 3pm UK
The Dunes Hotel Stadium
Gillingham

Barrow
3 - 0
Gillingham

Spence (61', 84'), Smith (90+5')
Campbell (17')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Dack (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Barrow and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newport 1-0 Barrow
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 1-2 Notts County
Saturday, February 1 at 12.30pm in League Two

We said: Barrow 1-0 Gillingham

With two of the division's lowest-scoring teams going head-to-head, we are anticipating a cagey affair with little goalmouth action at either end. Nonetheless, we are leaning towards a win for the home side at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 43.25%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 28.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.67%) and 2-1 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.15%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.

Result
BarrowDrawGillingham
43.25% (0.012 0.01) 28.67%28.08% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 43.8% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.8% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)62.2% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.12% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)81.88% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.43% (0.0019999999999953 0)28.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.63% (0.00099999999999767 0)64.37% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.32% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)38.68% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.58% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)75.42% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Barrow 43.25%
    Gillingham 28.07%
    Draw 28.67%
BarrowDrawGillingham
1-0 @ 13.84% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.67% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-1 @ 8.24%
3-0 @ 3.62% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.44%
3-2 @ 1.63%
4-0 @ 1.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.08%
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 43.25%
1-1 @ 13.15%
0-0 @ 11.05% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.91% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 28.67%
0-1 @ 10.49%
1-2 @ 6.25% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-2 @ 4.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.98% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.58% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.24% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 28.07%

How you voted: Barrow vs Gillingham

Barrow
60.0%
Draw
30.0%
Gillingham
10.0%
10
Head to Head
Sep 28, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 8
Gillingham
2-0
Barrow
Clarke (17'), McKenzie (62')
Clark (19'), Hutton (55'), Nevitt (69'), Clarke (71'), Williams (90+3')

Jackson (61'), Popov (90+3')
Apr 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 44
Gillingham
3-0
Barrow
Andrews (45+3'), Feely (55' og.), Mahoney (64')

Ray (22')
Mar 5, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Barrow
2-0
Gillingham
Chester (40'), Acauah (55')
Stockton (4'), Spence (9'), Campbell (66')

Coleman (39'), Williams (66'), Masterson (90+6'), Hutton (90+6')
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 39
Barrow
2-1
Gillingham
Morris (9' og.), Gotts (90+4')
Masterson (82')
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Gillingham
1-1
Barrow
Baggott (74')
Kay (35')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall35208764382668
2Bradford CityBradford35199748291966
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster351871051411061
4Notts County341610853351858
5AFC Wimbledon34169944232157
6Port Vale33151264234857
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe35141384336755
8Grimsby Town34165134850-253
9Bromley351312104541451
10Colchester UnitedColchester34111673932749
11Salford City341310114236649
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood351212114842648
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham341210124649-346
14Swindon TownSwindon351112125050045
15Newport CountyNewport34127154454-1043
16Chesterfield33119135042842
17BarrowBarrow34117163641-540
18MK Dons34116174449-539
19Gillingham34108162938-938
20Harrogate TownHarrogate35107182845-1737
21Accrington StanleyAccrington3499163952-1336
22Tranmere RoversTranmere35612172554-2930
23Morecambe3585223052-2229
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3469192550-2527


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