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Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
QPR logo

Swansea
0 - 1
QPR

FT(HT: 0-0)
Cook (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-1 Swansea
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 2-1 Birmingham
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-2 Queens Park Rangers

Having improved considerably under Williams, Swansea will back themselves to earn at least a share of the spoils here. Nevertheless, QPR can finally play with some extra freedom in this contest and we feel that will lead to another dramatic victory for Cifuentes's men. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 43.91%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 29.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Queens Park Rangers would win this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawQueens Park Rangers
43.91% (-0.527 -0.53) 26.8% (0.144 0.14) 29.29% (0.386 0.39)
Both teams to score 49.62% (-0.216 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.87% (-0.379 -0.38)55.13% (0.383 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.62% (-0.313 -0.31)76.38% (0.31700000000001 0.32)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.05% (-0.432 -0.43)24.95% (0.435 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.42% (-0.603 -0.6)59.58% (0.606 0.61)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.12% (0.093000000000004 0.09)33.88% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.45% (0.101 0.1)70.55% (-0.097000000000008 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 43.9%
    Queens Park Rangers 29.29%
    Draw 26.8%
Swansea CityDrawQueens Park Rangers
1-0 @ 11.73% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.82% (-0.069000000000001 -0.07)
2-0 @ 8.15% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-1 @ 4.08% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-0 @ 3.77% (-0.087 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.42% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.31% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 43.9%
1-1 @ 12.7% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 8.45% (0.125 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 26.8%
0-1 @ 9.15% (0.157 0.16)
1-2 @ 6.87% (0.05 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.95% (0.097 0.1)
1-3 @ 2.48% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.79% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.72% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 29.29%

How you voted: Swansea vs QPR

Swansea City
42.9%
Draw
25.7%
Queens Park Rangers
31.4%
35
Head to Head
Sep 19, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
QPR
1-1
Swansea
Dykes (90+2')
Kakay (67')
Ginnelly (7')
Wood (5'), Cooper (90+7')
Cooper (90+8')
Jan 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 28
QPR
1-1
Swansea
Lowe (27')
Fulton (81')
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 8
Swansea
1-0
QPR
Piroe (21')
Grimes (34'), Paterson (39'), Piroe (77')
May 7, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
Swansea
0-1
QPR
Gray (80')
Jan 25, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
QPR
0-0
Swansea
Odubajo (69'), Johansen (76'), Austin (90+1')
Smith (29'), Cabango (47'), Downes (72'), Obafemi (90+4')
Downes (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds442713489296094
2Burnley442616261154694
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd442771060352586
4Sunderland4421131058411776
5Bristol City441716115749867
6Coventry CityCoventry44199166257566
7Middlesbrough441891764541063
8Millwall441712154546-163
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn44188185046462
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom441418125244860
11Swansea CitySwansea44179184852-460
12Watford44168205158-756
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds441511185867-956
14Norwich CityNorwich441314176766153
15Queens Park RangersQPR441314175258-653
16Portsmouth441410205669-1352
17Stoke CityStoke441214184560-1550
18Preston North EndPreston441019154555-1049
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd441213194462-1849
20Hull City441212204352-948
21Derby CountyDerby441210224756-946
22Luton TownLuton441210224164-2346
23Cardiff CityCardiff44916194669-2343
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth441013214885-3743


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