Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 49.64%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 22.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Coventry City | Draw | Derby County | 
| 49.64% | 27.54% | 22.82% | 
| Both teams to score 42.67% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 38.45% | 61.55% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 18.6% | 81.4% | 
| Coventry City Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 74.97% | 25.03% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.3% | 59.7% | 
| Derby County Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 56.91% | 43.09% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 20.64% | 79.37% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Coventry City | Draw | Derby County | 
| 1-0 @ 14.93% 2-0 @ 10.34% 2-1 @ 8.71% 3-0 @ 4.78% 3-1 @ 4.02% 3-2 @ 1.69% 4-0 @ 1.65% 4-1 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.11% Total : 49.63% | 1-1 @ 12.57% 0-0 @ 10.78% 2-2 @ 3.67% Other @ 0.51% Total : 27.53% | 0-1 @ 9.08% 1-2 @ 5.3% 0-2 @ 3.82% 1-3 @ 1.49% 0-3 @ 1.07% 2-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.03% Total : 22.82% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Fulham | 46 | 27 | 9 | 10 | 106 | 43 | 63 | 90 | 
| P | Bournemouth | 46 | 25 | 13 | 8 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 88 | 
| 3 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 64 | 47 | 17 | 82 | 
| P | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 46 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 73 | 40 | 33 | 80 | 
| 5 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 63 | 45 | 18 | 75 | 
| 6 | Luton TownLuton | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 63 | 55 | 8 | 75 | 
| 7 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 70 | 
| 8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 19 | 12 | 15 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 69 | 
| 9 | Millwall | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 53 | 45 | 8 | 69 | 
| 10 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 52 | 45 | 7 | 67 | 
| 11 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 19 | 9 | 18 | 60 | 59 | 1 | 66 | 
| 12 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 60 | 59 | 1 | 64 | 
| 13 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 52 | 56 | -4 | 64 | 
| 14 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 57 | 52 | 5 | 62 | 
| 15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 58 | 68 | -10 | 61 | 
| 16 | Blackpool | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 54 | 58 | -4 | 60 | 
| 17 | Bristol City | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 62 | 77 | -15 | 55 | 
| 18 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 68 | -18 | 53 | 
| 19 | Hull City | 46 | 14 | 9 | 23 | 41 | 54 | -13 | 51 | 
| 20 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 50 | 75 | -25 | 47 | 
| 21 | Reading | 46 | 13 | 8 | 25 | 54 | 87 | -33 | 41 | 
| R | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 9 | 10 | 27 | 43 | 87 | -44 | 37 | 
| R | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 34 | 
| R | Barnsley | 46 | 6 | 12 | 28 | 33 | 73 | -40 | 30 | 
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