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Championship | Gameweek 13
Oct 19, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Pride Park
Luton Town

Derby
2 - 2
Luton

Lawrence (20'), Knight (60')
Lawrence (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Onyedinma (49'), Adebayo (84')
Naismith (14'), Ruddock (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Derby County and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 40.39%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-0 (11.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
Derby CountyDrawLuton Town
30.81%28.8%40.39%
Both teams to score 44.65%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.26%61.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.46%81.54%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.73%36.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.95%73.05%
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.05%29.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.94%66.05%
Score Analysis
    Derby County 30.8%
    Luton Town 40.38%
    Draw 28.8%
Derby CountyDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 11.01%
2-1 @ 6.74%
2-0 @ 5.59%
3-1 @ 2.28%
3-0 @ 1.89%
3-2 @ 1.37%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 30.8%
1-1 @ 13.28%
0-0 @ 10.86%
2-2 @ 4.06%
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 28.8%
0-1 @ 13.09%
1-2 @ 8.01%
0-2 @ 7.89%
1-3 @ 3.22%
0-3 @ 3.17%
2-3 @ 1.63%
1-4 @ 0.97%
0-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 40.38%

How you voted: Derby vs Luton

Derby County
35.3%
Draw
30.6%
Luton Town
34.1%
85
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 39
Derby
2-0
Luton
Gregory (7'), Shinnie (49' pen.)
Wisdom (47'), Sibley (51'), Byrne (66'), Kazim-Richards (90+5')

Dewsbury-Hall (66'), Pearson (81')
Sep 19, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 2
Luton
2-1
Derby
Berry (34'), Clark (87')
Norrington-Davies (22'), Ruddock (90+4')
Marriott (52')
Jan 28, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Luton
3-2
Derby
Ruddock (67'), Daniels (74'), Bogle (86' og.)
Ruddock (70')
Mark Rooney (63'), Martin (85')
Bogle (23'), Hamer (88'), Rooney (88'), Wisdom (94')
Lowe (88')
Oct 5, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 11
Derby
2-0
Luton
Pearson (11' og.), Lawrence (70')
Shinnie (76')
Apr 20, 2007 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds432613483295491
2Burnley432516259144591
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd43277959332686
4Sunderland432113958401876
5Bristol City4317161056461067
6Coventry CityCoventry43199156154766
7Middlesbrough431891663521163
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4314181151411060
9Millwall431612154245-360
10Blackburn RoversBlackburn43178184946359
11Swansea CitySwansea43169184651-557
12Watford43168195157-656
13Norwich CityNorwich431314166663353
14Queens Park RangersQPR431314165156-553
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds431411185666-1053
16Stoke CityStoke431214174554-950
17Preston North EndPreston431019144453-949
18Portsmouth431310205569-1449
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd431212194361-1848
20Hull City431112204151-1045
21Derby CountyDerby431110224455-1143
22Luton TownLuton431110223863-2543
23Cardiff CityCardiff43915194568-2342
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth43913214584-3940


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