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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 70.76%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 12.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 1-0 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.97%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 1-2 (3.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for RB Leipzig in this match.
Result | ||
RB Leipzig | Draw | Wolfsburg |
70.76% | 17.11% | 12.14% |
Both teams to score 53.58% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.81% | 36.19% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.69% | 58.31% |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.91% | 9.09% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.11% | 30.89% |
Wolfsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.93% | 41.07% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.38% | 77.62% |
Score Analysis |
RB Leipzig | Draw | Wolfsburg |
2-0 @ 10.73% 2-1 @ 9.55% 1-0 @ 8.95% 3-0 @ 8.58% 3-1 @ 7.64% 4-0 @ 5.15% 4-1 @ 4.58% 3-2 @ 3.4% 5-0 @ 2.47% 5-1 @ 2.2% 4-2 @ 2.04% 6-0 @ 0.99% 5-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 3.51% Total : 70.75% | 1-1 @ 7.97% 2-2 @ 4.25% 0-0 @ 3.73% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.15% Total : 17.11% | 1-2 @ 3.55% 0-1 @ 3.32% 0-2 @ 1.48% 2-3 @ 1.26% 1-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.48% Total : 12.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 61 | 21 | 40 | 43 |
2 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 42 |
3 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 20 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 40 | 26 | 14 | 40 |
4 | Freiburg | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 40 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 43 | 26 | 17 | 39 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 38 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 30 |
8 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 29 |
9 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 27 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 27 |
11 | FC Koln | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 26 |
12 | Mainz 05Mainz | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 30 | 32 | -2 | 26 |
13 | Augsburg | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 24 |
14 | Stuttgart | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 19 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 19 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 21 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 24 | 51 | -27 | 19 |
17 | Hertha Berlin | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 17 |
18 | Schalke 04Schalke | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 14 | 41 | -27 | 12 |
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