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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Rio Ave
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 24
Mar 2, 2025 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
Braga

Rio Ave
2 - 1
Braga

Clayton (5'), Panzo (70')
Tiknaz (31'), Neto (87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Navarro (10')
Navarro (36'), Moutinho (54'), Gharbi (65'), Racic (78'), Edgar Chissumba Rodrigues (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Rio Ave and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Estoril 2-1 Rio Ave
Saturday, February 22 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 1-0 Braga
Wednesday, February 26 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal

We said: Rio Ave 1-2 Braga

With a draw against Porto on their recent record, Rio Ave will have belief that they can earn another positive result against one of the big four. Nevertheless, we have to back Braga for this contest, particularly in a tight game given how they have churned out victories of late. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 46.21%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 28.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (8.28%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 1-0 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Rio AveDrawBraga
28.05% (0.492 0.49) 25.74% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 46.21% (-0.51 -0.51)
Both teams to score 52.08% (0.28 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.4% (0.199 0.2)51.6% (-0.193 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.61% (0.173 0.17)73.39% (-0.167 -0.17)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.03% (0.48699999999999 0.49)32.98% (-0.48 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.44% (0.535 0.54)69.56% (-0.529 -0.53)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.7% (-0.14400000000001 -0.14)22.31% (0.151 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.23% (-0.224 -0.22)55.77% (0.228 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Rio Ave 28.05%
    Braga 46.21%
    Draw 25.74%
Rio AveDrawBraga
1-0 @ 8.16% (0.044 0.04)
2-1 @ 6.79% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
2-0 @ 4.53% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
3-1 @ 2.51% (0.068 0.07)
3-2 @ 1.88% (0.042 0.04)
3-0 @ 1.67% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 28.05%
1-1 @ 12.24% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.36% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.1% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.74%
0-1 @ 11.03% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-2 @ 9.18% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 8.28% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-3 @ 4.59% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-3 @ 4.14% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.55% (0.013 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.72% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.55% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-4 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 46.21%

How you voted: Rio Ave vs Braga

Rio Ave
14.3%
Draw
14.3%
Braga
71.4%
7
Head to Head
Sep 29, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 7
Braga
4-0
Rio Ave
Martinez (31'), Gharbi (38'), Horta (66'), Bruma (90+3')

Vrousai (60')
Mar 9, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 25
Rio Ave
0-0
Braga
Oudrhiri (12')
Bruma (12'), Carvalho (44'), Oliveira (49'), Zalazar (60')
Oct 7, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 8
Braga
2-1
Rio Ave
Banza (90+1'), Ruiz (90+6')
Saatci (40')
Acevedo (5')
Luiz (74'), Gomes (80')
Mar 5, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 23
Braga
2-0
Rio Ave
Bruma (36'), Banza (79')
Sep 11, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 6
Rio Ave
2-3
Braga
Boateng (81'), Yakubu (87')
Elmusrati (11'), Medeiros (25'), Horta (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon30226278255372
2Benfica30233474254972
3Braga30196551252663
4Porto30195657263162
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes30121264132948
6Santa ClaraSanta Clara30145112929047
7FamalicaoFamalicao30111093933643
8Casa Pia30118113538-341
9Estoril PraiaEstoril30109113848-1039
10MoreirenseMoreirense3098133544-935
11Rio AveRio Ave3089133348-1533
12AroucaArouca3089133045-1533
13Nacional3095162741-1432
14Gil Vicente3078153043-1329
15Estrela Amadora3068162243-2126
16AVS30412142349-2624
17SC FarenseFarense3049172041-2121
18BoavistaBoavista3056192047-2721


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