We said: Rio Ave 1-2 Braga
With a draw against Porto on their recent record, Rio Ave will have belief that they can earn another positive result against one of the big four. Nevertheless, we have to back Braga for this contest, particularly in a tight game given how they have churned out victories of late.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 46.21%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 28.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (8.28%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 1-0 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.