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Moreirense
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23
Mar 14, 2021 at 3pm UK
Parque Joaquim Almeida Freitas
Rio Ave
Moreirense
1 - 1
Rio Ave
Pires (83')
Soares (15'), Camara (15')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Soares (7' og.)
Camacho (15'), Geraldes (42'), Pinto (82'), Augusto (90')

Preview: Moreirense vs. Rio Ave - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Moreirense and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Moreirense welcome Rio Ave to the Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas on Sunday, with just four points and two league places separating the sides in the middle of the Primeira Liga table.

Both teams will be looking to build on victories last time out, with the hosts beating Maritimo 2-0 while Rio Ave defeated Farense by the same scoreline last Sunday.


Match preview

Miguel Cardoso, now in charge of Rio Ave, pictured in 2018© Reuters

Moreirense returned to winning ways in their last game, defeating Maritimo 2-0 away from home thanks to a Filipe Soares brace.

That stopped a winless run from growing for Os Verdes e Brancos, having previously gone three league games without a victory.

Most recently, Vasco Seabra's side drew 2-2 with strugglers Belenenses, as Rafael Martins's brace was cancelled out by goals from Goncalo Silva and Mateo Cassierra.

That run also included a disappointing 1-0 loss to Boavista, with Angel Gomes netting the only goal of the game to seal all three points for the side who sat at the foot of the table at the time.

Seabra will be hoping that his side can put that run behind them now, as they look to record consecutive wins in the top flight in order to maintain their seventh spot.

However, Rio Ave will also be in search of a second straight victory, as a win would move them just one point behind Sunday's opponents.

Moreirense players including Mateus Pasinato speak to the referee in January 2021© Reuters

Miguel Cardoso's side also returned to winning ways last time out, defeating a resurgent Farense side 2-0 at home.

Goals from Pele and Rafael Camacho sealed a sixth league win of the season for Rio Ave, after they had previously suffered two consecutive defeats in league action.

As a result of that win, Cardoso's men moved back up to ninth spot in the top flight, sitting just one point behind eighth-placed Santa Clara, and four points behind Moreirense.

That was a big relief for the Rioavistas, as they sat just three points above the relegation zone before Sunday's victory, with that gap now standing at six points.

Cardoso will now focus his attention back up the league, as his side look to move within a point of Moreirense and continue their climb back up the table.

Moreirense Primeira Liga form:
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • W

Rio Ave Primeira Liga form:
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • W


Team News

Rio Ave's Ivo Pinto with teammates after the match on January 15, 2021© Reuters

Moreirense will be without right-back Anthony D'Alberto, who will serve a suspension after he picked up his fifth yellow card of the season last time out.

That only adds to their selection concerns, as Vasco Seabra also remains without Pedro Nuno, Pedro Amador and Sori Mane, with all three players continuing spells out through injury.

However, they did recently welcome Felipe Pires back to action, with the winger coming off the bench in their last two games after a spell on the sidelines.

Young Manchester City loanee Nahuel Ferraresi has impressed in defence recently, cementing himself in the starting lineup.

Their line will be led by Rafael Martins and Filipe Soares, with each player netting a brace in one of their last two games.

Rio Ave remain without experienced defenders in Fabio Coentrao and Ivo Pinto, with both players out through injury.

They are joined on the sidelines by midfielder Nikola Jambor and forward Andre Pereira, after both picked up injuries in January.

Key forward Gelson Dala has struggled for goals this campaign, netting just two from his 20 league appearances.

Moreirense possible starting lineup:
Pasinato; Ba, Ferraresi, Rosic, Conte; Yan, Pacheco, A Soares, Walterson; Martins, F Soares

Rio Ave possible starting lineup:
Kieszek; Costinha, Santos, Borevkovic, Savio; Augusto, Pele; Mane, Geraldes, Camacho; Dala


SM words green background

We say: Moreirense 2-1 Rio Ave

With the visitors remaining weakened by injuries, we see Moreirense just edging this encounter at their home ground.

With Rafael Martins and Filipe Soares both coming in with plenty of confidence, Seabra's men should be able to find goals against a makeshift Rio Ave back line, firing them to an important victory.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Away Win:data


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 40.47%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 31.59% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 1-0 (10.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Moreirense vs Rio Ave

Moreirense
46.2%
Draw
23.1%
Rio Ave
30.8%
13
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4BoavistaBoavista74211712514
5Braga74121813513
6FamalicaoFamalicao733175212
7Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes631267-110
8Casa Pia62317439
9PortimonensePortimonense7223917-88
10MoreirenseMoreirense621369-37
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12SC FarenseFarense7205111106
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14Rio AveRio Ave612358-35
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