Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 39.31%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 35.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.08%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-2 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Almere City | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 39.31% ( | 24.73% ( | 35.96% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.64% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.51% ( | 44.49% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.14% ( | 66.86% ( |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.46% ( | 22.54% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.88% ( | 56.12% ( |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.7% ( | 24.3% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.33% ( | 58.68% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Almere City | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 2-1 @ 8.6% ( 1-0 @ 8.16% ( 2-0 @ 6.08% ( 3-1 @ 4.27% ( 3-2 @ 3.02% ( 3-0 @ 3.02% ( 4-1 @ 1.59% ( 4-2 @ 1.13% ( 4-0 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 2.32% Total : 39.31% | 1-1 @ 11.54% ( 2-2 @ 6.08% ( 0-0 @ 5.48% ( 3-3 @ 1.43% ( Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.73% | 1-2 @ 8.17% ( 0-1 @ 7.75% ( 0-2 @ 5.48% ( 1-3 @ 3.85% ( 2-3 @ 2.87% ( 0-3 @ 2.59% ( 1-4 @ 1.36% ( 2-4 @ 1.02% ( 0-4 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 1.97% Total : 35.96% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 32 | 23 | 5 | 4 | 63 | 30 | 33 | 74 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 23 | 4 | 5 | 96 | 37 | 59 | 73 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 32 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 74 | 36 | 38 | 65 |
| 4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 61 | 44 | 17 | 62 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 60 | 44 | 16 | 54 |
| 6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 54 | 34 | 20 | 53 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 53 | 50 | 3 | 48 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 40 | 56 | -16 | 40 |
| 9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 39 |
| 10 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 38 |
| 11 | Groningen | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 38 |
| 12 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 40 | 57 | -17 | 38 |
| 13 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 45 | 1 | 37 |
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 35 |
| 15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 33 | 54 | -21 | 32 |
| 16 | Willem II | 32 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 25 |
| 17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 39 | 69 | -30 | 22 |
| 18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 21 | 62 | -41 | 20 |
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