Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Katwijk win with a probability of 54.04%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 24.47% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Katwijk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.35%) and 1-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-2 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.