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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 80.65%. A draw had a probability of 13% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 6.37%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.73%) and 1-0 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.18%), while for an Almere City win it was 0-1 (2.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 4-1 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for AZ Alkmaar.
Result | ||
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Almere City |
80.65% (![]() | 12.99% (![]() | 6.37% (![]() |
Both teams to score 43.42% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.12% (![]() | 35.88% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.03% (![]() | 57.97% (![]() |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.11% (![]() | 6.89% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
74.68% (![]() | 25.33% (![]() |
Almere City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
46.63% (![]() | 53.37% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.12% (![]() | 86.88% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Almere City |
2-0 @ 13.15% (![]() 3-0 @ 11.73% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 9.84% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 8.26% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 7.85% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.37% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.93% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 4.2% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.64% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.31% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 1.87% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.55% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 1.18% ( ![]() Other @ 3.78% Total : 80.64% | 1-1 @ 6.18% (![]() 0-0 @ 3.68% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 2.59% ( ![]() Other @ 0.54% Total : 12.99% | 0-1 @ 2.31% (![]() 1-2 @ 1.94% Other @ 2.12% Total : 6.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 103 | 39 | 64 | 79 |
2 | Ajax | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 67 | 32 | 35 | 78 |
3 | Feyenoord | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 76 | 38 | 38 | 68 |
4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 62 | 45 | 17 | 64 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 57 |
6 | FC Twente | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 62 | 49 | 13 | 54 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57 | 55 | 2 | 51 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 43 |
9 | Heerenveen | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 42 | 57 | -15 | 43 |
10 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 41 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 41 |
12 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 39 |
13 | Groningen | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 39 |
14 | Heracles | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 38 |
15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 34 | 58 | -24 | 33 |
16 | Willem II | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 34 | 56 | -22 | 26 |
R | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 44 | 74 | -30 | 25 |
R | Almere CityAlmere City | 34 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 23 | 64 | -41 | 22 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |