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League One | Gameweek 2
Aug 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Exeter City

Northampton
2 - 1
Exeter

Morton (65'), McGeehan (78')
McGowan (55'), Mbete (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Crama (8')
Francis (35'), Cole (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Northampton Town 1-1 Exeter City

There has only been one draw in the last seven league meetings between these two sides, and both teams won the away fixture during the 2023-24 campaign. It would not be a surprise to see a home or an away success here, but we just have a feeling that the points will be shared in a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 50.02%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 25.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.54%) and 0-2 (8.79%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Northampton TownDrawExeter City
25.33% (-1.296 -1.3) 24.65% (-0.554 -0.55) 50.02% (1.85 1.85)
Both teams to score 53.26% (0.587 0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.02% (1.32 1.32)48.98% (-1.318 -1.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.94% (1.184 1.18)71.06% (-1.183 -1.18)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.24% (-0.352 -0.35)33.75% (0.354 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.58% (-0.386 -0.39)70.41% (0.387 0.39)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.4% (1.304 1.3)19.6% (-1.302 -1.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.46% (2.078 2.08)51.54% (-2.078 -2.08)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 25.33%
    Exeter City 50.02%
    Draw 24.64%
Northampton TownDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 7.19% (-0.47 -0.47)
2-1 @ 6.36% (-0.213 -0.21)
2-0 @ 3.9% (-0.295 -0.3)
3-1 @ 2.3% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-2 @ 1.88% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 1.41% (-0.122 -0.12)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 25.33%
1-1 @ 11.7% (-0.28 -0.28)
0-0 @ 6.62% (-0.365 -0.37)
2-2 @ 5.18% (0.038 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.64%
0-1 @ 10.78% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-2 @ 9.54% (0.161 0.16)
0-2 @ 8.79% (0.232 0.23)
1-3 @ 5.18% (0.289 0.29)
0-3 @ 4.77% (0.309 0.31)
2-3 @ 2.81% (0.13 0.13)
1-4 @ 2.11% (0.197 0.2)
0-4 @ 1.94% (0.197 0.2)
2-4 @ 1.15% (0.097 0.1)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 50.02%

Head to Head
Apr 20, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 45
Northampton
1-2
Exeter
Guthrie (73')
Guthrie (45')
Harris (20'), Aimson (83')
Woods (44')
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Exeter
0-2
Northampton

Jules (8')
Hoskins (20'), Brough (90+2')
Brady (9'), Bowie (34'), Brough (41'), Sherring (44'), Odimayo (62'), Monthe (84')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 45
Northampton
1-1
Exeter
Pinnock (29')
Guthrie (87')
Nombe (71')
Dieng (20'), Sparkes (54'), Brown (68'), Collins (88'), Key (90+4')
Dec 7, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Exeter
1-2
Northampton
Amond (50')
Key (56'), Caprice (78')
Sowerby (34'), Hoskins (74')
McWilliams (35'), Guthrie (71')
Dec 8, 2020 7pm
Second Round
Exeter
1-2
Northampton
Atangana (51')
Rose (22'), Ashley-Seal (82')
Rose (40'), Smith (51'), McWilliams (86'), Horsfall (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBirmingham CityBirmingham463493843153111
3Stockport CountyStockport462512972423087
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4625101167432485
5Wycombe WanderersWycombe4624121070452584
6Leyton Orient462461672482478
7Reading4621121368571175
8Bolton WanderersBolton46208186770-368
9Blackpool4617161372601267
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46197205855364
11Lincoln CityLincoln461613176456861
12Barnsley461710196973-461
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham461611195459-559
14Stevenage461512194250-857
15Wigan AthleticWigan461317164042-256
16Exeter CityExeter461511204965-1656
17Mansfield TownMansfield46159226073-1354
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough461312216881-1351
19Northampton TownNorthampton461215194866-1851
20Burton Albion461114214966-1747
RCrawley TownCrawley461210245783-2646
RBristol Rovers46127274476-3243
RCambridge UnitedCambridge46911264573-2838
RShrewsbury TownShrewsbury4689294179-3833


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