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League One | Gameweek 2
Aug 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Exeter City

Northampton
2 - 1
Exeter

Morton (65'), McGeehan (78')
McGowan (55'), Mbete (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Crama (8')
Francis (35'), Cole (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Northampton Town 1-1 Exeter City

There has only been one draw in the last seven league meetings between these two sides, and both teams won the away fixture during the 2023-24 campaign. It would not be a surprise to see a home or an away success here, but we just have a feeling that the points will be shared in a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Exeter City win with a probability of 50.02%. A win for Northampton Town has a probability of 25.33% and a draw has a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.54%) and 0-2 (8.79%). The likeliest Northampton Town win is 1-0 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.7%).

Result
Northampton TownDrawExeter City
25.33% (-1.278 -1.28) 24.65% (-0.543 -0.54) 50.02% (1.824 1.82)
Both teams to score 53.26% (0.569 0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.02% (1.291 1.29)48.98% (-1.287 -1.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.94% (1.157 1.16)71.06% (-1.154 -1.15)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.24% (-0.355 -0.36)33.75% (0.358 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.58% (-0.388 -0.39)70.41% (0.392 0.39)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.4% (1.282 1.28)19.6% (-1.278 -1.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.46% (2.041 2.04)51.54% (-2.038 -2.04)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 25.33%
    Exeter City 50.02%
    Draw 24.64%
Northampton TownDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 7.19% (-0.461 -0.46)
2-1 @ 6.36% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-0 @ 3.9% (-0.291 -0.29)
3-1 @ 2.3% (-0.099 -0.1)
3-2 @ 1.88% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.41% (-0.121 -0.12)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 25.33%
1-1 @ 11.7% (-0.27 -0.27)
0-0 @ 6.62% (-0.356 -0.36)
2-2 @ 5.18% (0.036 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.64%
0-1 @ 10.78% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-2 @ 9.54% (0.159 0.16)
0-2 @ 8.79% (0.23 0.23)
1-3 @ 5.18% (0.283 0.28)
0-3 @ 4.77% (0.305 0.31)
2-3 @ 2.81% (0.127 0.13)
1-4 @ 2.11% (0.193 0.19)
0-4 @ 1.94% (0.194 0.19)
2-4 @ 1.15% (0.095 0.1)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 50.02%

Head to Head
Apr 20, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 45
Northampton
1-2
Exeter
Guthrie (73')
Guthrie (45')
Harris (20'), Aimson (83')
Woods (44')
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Exeter
0-2
Northampton

Jules (8')
Hoskins (20'), Brough (90+2')
Brady (9'), Bowie (34'), Brough (41'), Sherring (44'), Odimayo (62'), Monthe (84')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 45
Northampton
1-1
Exeter
Pinnock (29')
Guthrie (87')
Nombe (71')
Dieng (20'), Sparkes (54'), Brown (68'), Collins (88'), Key (90+4')
Dec 7, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Exeter
1-2
Northampton
Amond (50')
Key (56'), Caprice (78')
Sowerby (34'), Hoskins (74')
McWilliams (35'), Guthrie (71')
Dec 8, 2020 7pm
Second Round
Exeter
1-2
Northampton
Atangana (51')
Rose (22'), Ashley-Seal (82')
Rose (40'), Smith (51'), McWilliams (86'), Horsfall (90+2')
rhs 2.0
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