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EFL Cup
Walsall
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Poundland Bescot Stadium
Exeter City

Walsall
1 - 1
Exeter

Jellis (90+3')
Stirk (90+4')
FT
(aet)
Alli (40')
Cole (50')
Walsall win 4-3 on penalties
Coverage of the EFL Cup First Round clash between Walsall and Exeter City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Walsall

All competitions
Last Game: Walsall 1-0 Morecambe
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in League Two

Exeter City

All competitions
Last Game: Exeter 1-0 Rotherham
Saturday, August 10 at 5.30pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Walsall win with a probability of 39.03%. A win for Exeter City has a probability of 35.43% and a draw has a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Exeter City win is 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.08%).

Result
WalsallDrawExeter City
39.03% (5.773 5.77) 25.54% (0.939 0.94) 35.43% (-6.713 -6.71)
Both teams to score 55.72% (-2.778 -2.78)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.77% (-3.815 -3.82)48.23% (3.813 3.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.62% (-3.594 -3.59)70.38% (3.591 3.59)
Walsall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.65% (1.465 1.47)24.35% (-1.467 -1.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.25% (2.028 2.03)58.75% (-2.031 -2.03)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.65% (-5.198 -5.2)26.35% (5.198 5.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.51% (-7.484 -7.48)61.49% (7.481 7.48)
Score Analysis
    Walsall 39.03%
    Exeter City 35.43%
    Draw 25.53%
WalsallDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 9.06% (1.669 1.67)
2-1 @ 8.54% (0.761 0.76)
2-0 @ 6.4% (1.395 1.4)
3-1 @ 4.02% (0.509 0.51)
3-0 @ 3.01% (0.754 0.75)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.42% (0.231 0.23)
4-0 @ 1.07% (0.3 0.3)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 39.03%
1-1 @ 12.08% (0.6 0.6)
0-0 @ 6.42% (0.955 0.96)
2-2 @ 5.69% (-0.347 -0.35)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.22 -0.22)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.53%
0-1 @ 8.56% (0.075000000000001 0.08)
1-2 @ 8.06% (-0.861 -0.86)
0-2 @ 5.71% (-0.882 -0.88)
1-3 @ 3.58% (-1.037 -1.04)
0-3 @ 2.54% (-0.875 -0.88)
2-3 @ 2.53% (-0.597 -0.6)
1-4 @ 1.2% (-0.6 -0.6)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 35.43%

Head to Head
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 28
Walsall
0-2
Exeter

Menayese (45+3'), White (76')
Menayese (50')
Dieng (44'), Diabate (84')
Stubbs (46'), Diabate (85')
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 10
Exeter
2-2
Walsall
Dieng (5'), Nombe (61')
Dieng (59')
Miller (37' pen., 70')
Ward (90')
Mar 2, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 33
Exeter
0-0
Walsall
McArdle (63')
Melbourne (49')
Oct 17, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 6
Walsall
0-0
Exeter
Sweeney (61')
Mar 7, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 37
Walsall
3-1
Exeter
Holden (3'), Adebayo (71', 90+2')
Guthrie (75'), Gordon (87')
Bowman (51')
Richardson (32'), Bowman (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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