MX23RW : Tuesday, August 13 23:04:14| >> :120:8440:8440:
Gremio
Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Aug 13, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Major Antonio Couto Pereira
Fluminense

Gremio
0 - 0
Fluminense

HT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Gremio and Fluminense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cuiaba 1-3 Gremio
Saturday, August 10 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Vasco 2-0 Fluminense
Sunday, August 11 at 1.30am in Brasileiro

We say: Gremio 1-1 Fluminense

Throughout the tournament, Fluminense have frequently made strong half-time adjustments, and we believe their resiliency will enable them to claim a result in a place that has proven to be quite difficult for them over the past few years. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Gremio win with a probability of 51.02%. A draw has a probability of 26.2% and a win for Fluminense has a probability of 22.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Fluminense win it is 0-1 (8.21%).

Result
GremioDrawFluminense
51.02% (-0.553 -0.55) 26.18% (0.511 0.51) 22.81% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 46.18% (-1.365 -1.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.02% (-1.813 -1.81)56.98% (1.81 1.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.12% (-1.472 -1.47)77.88% (1.468 1.47)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.58% (-0.98999999999999 -0.99)22.42% (0.987 0.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.05% (-1.5 -1.5)55.95% (1.498 1.5)
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.52% (-0.988 -0.99)40.48% (0.986 0.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.92% (-0.905 -0.91)77.08% (0.902 0.9)
Score Analysis
    Gremio 51%
    Fluminense 22.81%
    Draw 26.17%
GremioDrawFluminense
1-0 @ 13.56% (0.53 0.53)
2-0 @ 10.14% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 9.17% (-0.154 -0.15)
3-0 @ 5.06% (-0.099 -0.1)
3-1 @ 4.57% (-0.216 -0.22)
3-2 @ 2.07% (-0.156 -0.16)
4-0 @ 1.89% (-0.095 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.71% (-0.135 -0.14)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 51%
1-1 @ 12.27% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 9.08% (0.611 0.61)
2-2 @ 4.15% (-0.184 -0.18)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 26.17%
0-1 @ 8.21% (0.344 0.34)
1-2 @ 5.55% (-0.076 -0.08)
0-2 @ 3.71% (0.059 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.67% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.25% (-0.091 -0.09)
0-3 @ 1.12% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 22.81%

How you voted: Gremio vs Fluminense

Gremio
59.5%
Draw
27.0%
Fluminense
13.5%
37
Head to Head
Jun 30, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 13
Gremio
1-0
Fluminense
Nunes (61')
Geromel (36'), Moreira (55')

Cano (39'), Fanc Lucumii Gonzalez (52')
Fanc Lucumii Gonzalez (87')
Dec 7, 2023 12.30am
Gameweek 38
Fluminense
2-3
Gremio
Arias (34' pen.), Kennedy (81')
Andre (36'), Nino (45+5'), Kennedy (72')
Suarez (43', 64'), Galdino (45')
Ely (32'), Reinaldo (36'), Kannemann (45+4')
Aug 13, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 19
Gremio
2-1
Fluminense
Bitello (25'), Ferreira (45+1')
Villasanti (42'), Da Silva (46'), Suarez (82')
Cano (19')
Santos (27'), Xavier (30'), Diniz (32'), Danielzinho (57'), Andre (73')
Nov 10, 2021 12.30am
Jul 18, 2021 1am
Gameweek 12
Fluminense
0-1
Gremio
Lucca (77')
Henrique (42'), Kannemann (46'), Pyerre (90+8')
rhs 2.0
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