EFL Cup

EFL Cup | First Round

Aug 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Carrow Road

Norwich
4 - 3
Stevenage

Kamara (26'), Hernandez (35', 60'), Sainz (48')
Long (25'), Forsyth (75')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Goode (28'), Appere (45+1'), Hills (88+2' og.)
White (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Norwich City and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Norwich City

All competitions

Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-0 Norwich
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Stevenage

All competitions

Last Game: Stevenage 1-0 Shrewsbury
Saturday, August 10 at 5.30pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 44.04%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich City	Draw	Stevenage
44.04% ( -0.01)	24.8% ( 0)	31.16% ( 0)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

Norwich City	Draw	Stevenage
1-0 @ 9.15% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.14% 3-1 @ 4.75% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.72% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.85% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 44.04%	1-1 @ 11.66% 0-0 @ 5.85% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.79%	0-1 @ 7.47% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.44% 0-2 @ 4.76% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.17% 2-3 @ 2.47% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.03% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.82% Total : 31.16%