We said: Norwich City 2-0 Stevenage
Following their shock defeat on the weekend, Norwich will be desperate to put League One Stevenage to the sword in the cup at Carrow Road on Tuesday.
The Boro have a history of recording giant killings in recent times, but we feel that the third-tier visitors will fall to defeat in East Anglia with little fuss.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Norwich City win with a probability of 44.04%. A win for Stevenage has a probability of 31.16% and a draw has a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Stevenage win is 0-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.66%).