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Championship header 2

League One
Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 46
Apr 27, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
St James Park
Oxford United

Exeter
1 - 2
Oxford Utd

Alli (52')
Aimson (45+6'), Harris (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Harris (12'), Brannagan (40' pen.)
Stevens (84'), Cumming (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions
Last Game: Northampton 1-2 Exeter
Saturday, April 20 at 2pm in League One

Oxford United

All competitions
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-1 Stevenage
Friday, April 19 at 8pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 1-3 Oxford United

 While Exeter are coming into this match on a brilliant run of nine games without defeat, the added incentive of a playoff place for Oxford Utd makes us believe they will win this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 30.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawOxford United
30.57% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 25.35% (0.0010000000000012 0) 44.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 54.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.27% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)48.72% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.16% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)70.83% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.34% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)29.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.29% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)65.7% (0.0039999999999907 0)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.92% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)22.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.57% (0.0020000000000024 0)55.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 30.57%
    Oxford United 44.07%
    Draw 25.35%
Exeter CityDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 7.96%
2-1 @ 7.31% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 4.84%
3-1 @ 2.96% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.24%
3-0 @ 1.96% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 30.57%
1-1 @ 12.02%
0-0 @ 6.55% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.52%
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.35%
0-1 @ 9.89% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-2 @ 9.08% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 7.47% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 4.57%
0-3 @ 3.76%
2-3 @ 2.78%
1-4 @ 1.73%
0-4 @ 1.42%
2-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 44.07%

How you voted: Exeter vs Oxford Utd

Exeter City
25.0%
Draw
6.3%
Oxford United
68.8%
16
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Oxford Utd
3-0
Exeter
Rodrigues (8'), Brannagan (83' pen., 90+4' pen.)
Long (72')

Aimson (82')
Jan 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 25
Oxford Utd
0-1
Exeter
Nombe (79')
> Preview
Nov 26, 2022 3pm
Second Round
Oxford Utd
4-1
Exeter
Taylor (9'), Bodin (79', 88'), Brannagan (85')
Jay (89')
> Preview
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
Exeter
2-4
Oxford Utd
Brown (65'), Cox (90+2')
Brannagan (12'), Long (31'), Joseph (44', 54')
> Preview
Dec 4, 2019 7pm
Round of 32
Exeter
0-0
Oxford Utd
(Aggregate 0-0 | Exeter win 3-0 on penalties)
Tillson (30')
Mackie (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030
> League One Full Table


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