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Championship header 2

League One
Oxford United
League One | Gameweek 9
Sep 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Exeter City

Oxford Utd
3 - 0
Exeter

Rodrigues (8'), Brannagan (83' pen., 90+4' pen.)
Long (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Aimson (82')
Coverage of the League One clash between Oxford United and Exeter City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-1 MK Dons
Tuesday, September 19 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Exeter City

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Exeter 0-9 Reading
Tuesday, September 19 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawExeter City
44.06% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06) 25.13% (0.091000000000001 0.09) 30.81% (-0.035999999999998 -0.04)
Both teams to score 55.67% (-0.322 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.33% (-0.412 -0.41)47.67% (0.412 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.14% (-0.382 -0.38)69.86% (0.381 0.38)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.36% (-0.199 -0.2)21.64% (0.199 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.24% (-0.305 -0.31)54.76% (0.30399999999999 0.3)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.04% (-0.23 -0.23)28.97% (0.231 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.15% (-0.288 -0.29)64.86% (0.288 0.29)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 44.06%
    Exeter City 30.81%
    Draw 25.13%
Oxford UnitedDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 9.59% (0.107 0.11)
2-1 @ 9.1% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.34% (0.038 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.64% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.88% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.78% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.43% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 44.06%
1-1 @ 11.88% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.27% (0.107 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.64% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.13%
0-1 @ 7.77% (0.082999999999999 0.08)
1-2 @ 7.36% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.81% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.04% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.99% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 30.81%

Head to Head
Jan 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 25
Oxford Utd
0-1
Exeter
Nombe (79')
> Preview
Nov 26, 2022 3pm
Second Round
Oxford Utd
4-1
Exeter
Taylor (9'), Bodin (79', 88'), Brannagan (85')
Jay (89')
> Preview
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
Exeter
2-4
Oxford Utd
Brown (65'), Cox (90+2')
Brannagan (12'), Long (31'), Joseph (44', 54')
> Preview
Dec 4, 2019 7pm
Round of 32
Exeter
0-0
Oxford Utd
 Exeter win 3-0 on penalties
Tillson (30')
Mackie (61')
Feb 23, 2016 7.45pm
Exeter
1-4
Oxford Utd
Nicholls (77')
Tillson (45')
Dunkley (8'), Bowery (41', 59'), MacDonald (62')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030
> League One Full Table


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