League One | Gameweek 42
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Northampton2 - 0Port Vale
FT(HT: 1-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Reading 1-0 Northampton
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 2-0 Bristol Rovers
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One
We said: Northampton Town 0-2 Port Vale
Northampton may be 14 points better off than their opponents, but the momentum is with Port Vale following consecutive victories without conceding. With the Valiants closing in on safety, we think that they will continue their recent form by claiming an away win over a Northampton side that has lost three of their last four games. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Northampton Town | Draw | Port Vale |
39.2% ( 0.05) | 26.61% ( 0.01) | 34.18% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 51.95% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
