Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barton Town Old Boys win with a probability of 53.95%. A win for Northampton ON Chenecks had a probability of 27.04% and a draw had a probability of 19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barton Town Old Boys win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.47%) and 2-3 (5.66%). The likeliest Northampton ON Chenecks win was 2-1 (5.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (6.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barton Town Old Boys would win this match.
