Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Waltham Abbey win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for Leighton Town had a probability of 38.05% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Waltham Abbey win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.95%) and 0-2 (5.01%). The likeliest Leighton Town win was 2-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Waltham Abbey would win this match.
-0.8) 
0.03) 
