Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mousehole win with a probability of 44.22%. A win for Willand Rovers had a probability of 35.07% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mousehole win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.47%) and 3-2 (5.08%). The likeliest Willand Rovers win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
0.08) 
-0.14) 
