Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 1

Aug 17, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

AC Milan
2 - 2
Torino

Morata (89'), Okafor (90+5')
Jovic (57'), Morata (90'), Saelemaekers (90')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Thiaw (30' og.), Zapata (68')
Ricci (45+3'), Vojvoda (45+2'), Tameze (90'), Dembele (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Torino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Barcelona 2-2 AC Milan (3-4 pen.)
Wednesday, August 7 at 12.30am in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Torino

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Torino 2-0 Cosenza
Sunday, August 11 at 8.15pm in Coppa Italia

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 56.75%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Torino had a probability of 20.47%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Torino
56.75% ( -0.39)	22.78% ( 0.15)	20.47% ( 0.24)

Both teams to score 53.14% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.8% (

-0.34)

46.19% (

0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.51% (

-0.32)

68.49% (

0.32)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.94% (

-0.25)

16.06% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.57% (

-0.46)

45.42% (

0.46)

Torino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.31% (

0.05)

36.69% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.52% (

0.05)

73.48% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

AC Milan 56.74%

Torino 20.47%

Draw 22.78%

AC Milan	Draw	Torino
1-0 @ 10.77% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.85% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.02% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.75% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.75% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.29% Total : 56.74%	1-1 @ 10.8% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.89% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.78%	0-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.73% Total : 20.47%