Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 63.57%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Karpaty Lviv had a probability of 16.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.92%) and 0-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.3%), while for a Karpaty Lviv win it was 2-1 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Kiev would win this match.