MX23RW : Saturday, August 17 23:00:38| >> :120:13054:13054:
DFB-Pokal | First Round
Aug 17, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Volksstadion Greifswald
Union Berlin logo

Greifswalder FC
0 - 1
Union Berlin


Heil (40'), Sanin (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Vertessen (67')
Vertessen (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's DFB-Pokal clash between Greifswalder FC and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Greifswalder FC 2-0 Flota Swinoujscie
Saturday, July 20 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
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Last Game: Union Berlin 1-1 Real Sociedad
Friday, August 9 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Greifswalder FC 1-3 Union Berlin

While these types of mismatched cup ties do toss up a few shock results every so often, we do not expect to see one here, and fancy the visitors to secure a fairly comfortable victory and entry to the next round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Union Berlin win with a probability of 81.98%. A draw has a probability of 12.3% and a win for Greifswalder FC has a probability of 5.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win is 0-2 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-3 (12.15%) and 0-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (5.85%), while for a Greifswalder FC win it is 1-0 (2.14%).

Result
Greifswalder FCDrawUnion Berlin
5.73% (1.1289 1.13) 12.29% (1.295 1.3) 81.98% (-2.419 -2.42)
Both teams to score 42.14% (2.89 2.89)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.71% (-0.91800000000001 -0.92)35.29% (0.924 0.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.69% (-1.029 -1.03)57.31% (1.033 1.03)
Greifswalder FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.06% (3.383 3.38)54.94% (-3.379 -3.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.16% (1.927 1.93)87.84% (-1.922 -1.92)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.5% (-0.65300000000001 -0.65)6.5% (0.658 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.74% (-1.829 -1.83)24.26% (1.833 1.83)
Score Analysis
    Greifswalder FC 5.73%
    Union Berlin 81.97%
    Draw 12.29%
Greifswalder FCDrawUnion Berlin
1-0 @ 2.14% (0.302 0.3)
2-1 @ 1.75% (0.344 0.34)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 5.73%
1-1 @ 5.85% (0.628 0.63)
0-0 @ 3.57% (0.164 0.16)
2-2 @ 2.39% (0.395 0.4)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 12.29%
0-2 @ 13.33% (-0.4 -0.4)
0-3 @ 12.15% (-0.85 -0.85)
0-1 @ 9.76% (0.084999999999999 0.08)
0-4 @ 8.31% (-0.93 -0.93)
1-2 @ 7.99% (0.581 0.58)
1-3 @ 7.28% (0.265 0.27)
1-4 @ 4.98% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-5 @ 4.54% (-0.706 -0.71)
1-5 @ 2.72% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-3 @ 2.18% (0.289 0.29)
0-6 @ 2.07% (-0.415 -0.42)
2-4 @ 1.49% (0.147 0.15)
1-6 @ 1.24% (-0.1 -0.1)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 81.97%

How you voted: Greifswalder FC vs Union Berlin

Greifswalder FC
0.0%
Draw
16.7%
Union Berlin
83.3%
6
rhs 2.0
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