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Inter Miami
Major League Soccer
Aug 25, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Inter Miami CF Stadium
FC Cincinnati

Inter Miami
2 - 0
Cincinnati

Suarez (1', 6')
Aviles (12'), Suarez (45+8'), Alba (90+4')
Aviles (42')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Yedlin (42'), Awaziem (45+4'), Acosta (65'), Robinson (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Inter Miami and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Inter Miami 2-1 FC Cincinnati

Having lost each of the last three meetings between the teams, including a humiliating 6-1 loss in July's reverse fixture, we expect Inter Miami men to go all out looking to get one over Cincinnati. While Noonan's men have been tough to crack away from home, we predict that the Herons will come away with a narrow victory and return to league action on a positive note. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 45.59%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.04%) and 2-0 (5.68%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.

Result
Inter MiamiDrawFC Cincinnati
45.59% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 22.21% (0.017999999999997 0.02) 32.21% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Both teams to score 66.93% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.8% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)33.21% (0.086999999999996 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.05% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)54.96% (0.098999999999997 0.1)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.78% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)15.22% (0.036 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.13% (-0.064 -0.06)43.88% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.94% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)21.06% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.13% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)53.87% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Inter Miami 45.59%
    FC Cincinnati 32.21%
    Draw 22.21%
Inter MiamiDrawFC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 8.85% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.04% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.68% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 4.33% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.61% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 2.04% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.68% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-3 @ 1.06% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.98% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 45.59%
1-1 @ 9.4% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.89% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 3.21% (0.015 0.02)
3-3 @ 2.25% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 22.21%
1-2 @ 7.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 4.99% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.89% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.8% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 3.58% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.48% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.39% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 32.21%

How you voted: Inter Miami vs Cincinnati

Inter Miami
82.2%
Draw
8.9%
FC Cincinnati
8.9%
45
Head to Head
Jul 7, 2024 12.30am
Cincinnati
6-1
Inter Miami
Kubo (10', 57'), Acosta (36'), Bucha (38'), Rodrigo Asad (45+4'), Valenzuela (72')
Nwobodo (55'), Santos (90')
Krivtsov (21')
Cremaschi (54'), Weigandt (59'), Krivtsov (61'), Busquets (62')
Busquets (63')
Oct 8, 2023 12.30am
Aug 24, 2023 12am
Semi-Finals
Cincinnati
3-3
Inter Miami
(Aggregate 3-3 | Inter Miami win 5-4 on penalties)
Acosta (18'), Vazquez (53'), Kubo (114')
Nwobodo (31'), Acosta (85'), Barreal (90'), Powell (111'), Arias (117')
Campana (68', 90+7'), Martinez (93')
Alba (24'), Daniel Martino (25'), Mota (41'), Aviles (70'), Krivtsov (80')
Apr 2, 2023 12.30am
Jul 31, 2022 1am
Inter Miami
4-4
Cincinnati
Higuain (23', 37', 45+5' pen.), McVey (90+7')
Vassilev (60')
Brenner (28', 40'), Vazquez (81', 86')
Cameron (21'), Barreal (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami26175458391956
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati2615384435948
3Columbus Crew23127447222543
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls261012443321142
5New York City FCNY City2611693832639
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC2610883128338
7Orlando City2697103941-234
8Toronto27103143547-1233
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta2677123538-328
10Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia2569104542327
11CF MontrealMontreal2669113454-2027
12Chicago Fire2668123244-1226
13Nashville SCNashville2668122641-1526
14DC United2668123854-1626
15New England RevolutionNew England2482142847-1926

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy27157552361652
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles24145548301847
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake26128651361544
4Colorado RapidsColorado2612595043741
5Seattle SoundersSeattle2611783731640
6Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver2411584335838
7Portland TimbersPortland2610795446837
8Houston DynamoHouston2510783531437
9Austin FCAustin2697103037-734
10Dallas2696114242033
11Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd2696114244-233
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas2776144452-827
13St Louis City26412103650-1424
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes2652193361-2817


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