Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 45.59%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.04%) and 2-0 (5.68%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.
Result | ||
Inter Miami | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
45.59% (![]() | 22.21% (![]() | 32.21% (![]() |
Both teams to score 66.93% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.8% (![]() | 33.21% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.05% (![]() | 54.96% (![]() |
Inter Miami Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.78% (![]() | 15.22% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.13% (![]() | 43.88% (![]() |
FC Cincinnati Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.94% (![]() | 21.06% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.13% (![]() | 53.87% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Inter Miami | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
2-1 @ 8.85% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.04% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.68% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.55% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.33% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.56% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.61% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.04% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.68% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 1.06% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 3.22% Total : 45.59% | 1-1 @ 9.4% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.89% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.21% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.25% ( ![]() Other @ 0.46% Total : 22.21% | 1-2 @ 7.32% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.99% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.89% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.8% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.58% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.02% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.48% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.39% ( ![]() Other @ 3.73% Total : 32.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 58 | 39 | 19 | 56 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 44 | 35 | 9 | 48 |
3 | Columbus Crew | 23 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 47 | 22 | 25 | 43 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 26 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 42 |
5 | New York City FCNY City | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 38 | 32 | 6 | 39 |
6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 38 |
7 | Orlando City | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 39 | 41 | -2 | 34 |
8 | Toronto | 27 | 10 | 3 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 33 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 28 |
10 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 27 |
11 | CF MontrealMontreal | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 27 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 44 | -12 | 26 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 26 |
14 | DC United | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 26 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 24 | 8 | 2 | 14 | 28 | 47 | -19 | 26 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 52 | 36 | 16 | 52 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 48 | 30 | 18 | 47 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 51 | 36 | 15 | 44 |
4 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 50 | 43 | 7 | 41 |
5 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 37 | 31 | 6 | 40 |
6 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 38 |
7 | Portland TimbersPortland | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 54 | 46 | 8 | 37 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 37 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 34 |
10 | Dallas | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 42 | 42 | 0 | 33 |
11 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 33 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 27 |
13 | St Louis City | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 24 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 26 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 33 | 61 | -28 | 17 |