MX23RW : Monday, August 26 00:03:44| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Arouca
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 3
Aug 25, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Nacional

Arouca
1 - 0
Nacional

Araujo (27')
Rodrigues (74'), Mantl (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Garcia (22'), Butzke (49'), Esteves (73'), Reis (76'), Vitor (90+3'), Dias (90+6'), Margarido (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Nacional, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arouca

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Moreirense 3-1 Arouca
Sunday, August 18 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Nacional

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Nacional 1-6 Sporting Lisbon
Saturday, August 17 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Arouca 1-1 Nacional

 Nacional's recent return to the Primeira Liga after a three-year hiatus and Arouca's ongoing losses make it difficult to predict the outcome of Sunday's game. Thus, we will err on the side of caution and opt for a stalemate in the gameweek three meeting. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Arouca win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Nacional has a probability of 31.41% and a draw has a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Nacional win is 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.42%).

Result
AroucaDrawNacional
42.46% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08) 26.13% (-0.215 -0.22) 31.41% (0.288 0.29)
Both teams to score 52.67% (0.791 0.79)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.33% (0.965 0.96)51.67% (-0.96700000000001 -0.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.55% (0.829 0.83)73.45% (-0.833 -0.83)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.87% (0.389 0.39)24.13% (-0.392 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.57% (0.552 0.55)58.43% (-0.554 -0.55)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.42% (0.687 0.69)30.57% (-0.689 -0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.19% (0.807 0.81)66.8% (-0.809 -0.81)
Score Analysis
    Arouca 42.45%
    Nacional 31.41%
    Draw 26.12%
AroucaDrawNacional
1-0 @ 10.48% (-0.29 -0.29)
2-1 @ 8.84% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.46% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-1 @ 4.19% (0.061 0.06)
3-0 @ 3.53% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.48% (0.083 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.49% (0.039 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.26% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 42.45%
1-1 @ 12.42% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 7.38% (-0.289 -0.29)
2-2 @ 5.24% (0.116 0.12)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.12%
0-1 @ 8.74% (-0.171 -0.17)
1-2 @ 7.37% (0.081 0.08)
0-2 @ 5.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.91% (0.086 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.07% (0.083 0.08)
0-3 @ 2.05% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 31.41%

How you voted: Arouca vs Nacional

Arouca
60.0%
Draw
40.0%
Nacional
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2017 4pm
Nacional
1-1
Arouca
Agra (96' pen.)
Washington (48')
Miguel Prata Coelho (84')
Mateus (25'), Goiano (53'), Intima (55'), Sacramento (80'), Jubal (89')
Sacramento (93')
Aug 21, 2016 6pm
Arouca
2-0
Nacional
Crivellaro (24'), Zequinha (30')
Coelho (42')
May 1, 2016 6.15pm
Arouca
3-0
Nacional
Gonzalez (14', 64'), Mateus (38' pen.)
Coelho (11'), Adilson (31')

Washington (37'), Belkaroui (39'), Soares (49')
Belkaroui (40')
Jan 2, 2016 4pm
Nacional
2-2
Arouca
Agra (19' pen.), Gustavo (95')
Agra (44'), Correia (47')
Zequinha (14'), Simao (44')
Velasquez (18'), Rodrigues (35'), Simao (54'), Bracali (71'), Roque Junior (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon3300142129
2Porto33007079
3FamalicaoFamalicao33006069
4Braga32105237
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara32016336
6Benfica32014226
7MoreirenseMoreirense32016516
8Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes32012116
9AVS311145-14
10Gil Vicente311145-14
11BoavistaBoavista310212-13
12AroucaArouca310224-23
13Rio AveRio Ave310225-33
14Estoril PraiaEstoril301215-41
15Estrela Amadora301215-41
16Nacional301228-61
17Casa Pia300306-60
18SC FarenseFarense300318-70
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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