

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 41.57%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 34.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.04%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 1-2 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | Columbus Crew |
| 41.57% ( | 23.53% ( | 34.9% ( |
| Both teams to score 62.9% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.14% ( | 38.86% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.82% ( | 61.18% ( |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.93% ( | 19.07% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.33% ( | 50.67% ( |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.72% ( | 22.28% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.27% ( | 55.73% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | Columbus Crew |
| 2-1 @ 8.76% ( 1-0 @ 7.04% ( 2-0 @ 5.83% ( 3-1 @ 4.84% ( 3-2 @ 3.63% ( 3-0 @ 3.22% ( 4-1 @ 2% ( 4-2 @ 1.5% ( 4-0 @ 1.34% ( Other @ 3.41% Total : 41.57% | 1-1 @ 10.57% ( 2-2 @ 6.58% ( 0-0 @ 4.25% ( 3-3 @ 1.82% ( Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.53% | 1-2 @ 7.94% ( 0-1 @ 6.38% ( 0-2 @ 4.79% ( 1-3 @ 3.97% ( 2-3 @ 3.29% ( 0-3 @ 2.4% ( 1-4 @ 1.49% ( 2-4 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 3.41% Total : 34.9% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 58 | 39 | 19 | 56 |
| 2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 44 | 35 | 9 | 48 |
| 3 | Columbus Crew | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 48 | 22 | 26 | 46 |
| 4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 26 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 42 |
| 5 | New York City FCNY City | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 38 | 32 | 6 | 39 |
| 6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 38 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 39 | 41 | -2 | 34 |
| 8 | Toronto | 27 | 10 | 3 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 33 |
| 9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 28 |
| 10 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 27 |
| 11 | CF MontrealMontreal | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 27 |
| 12 | Chicago Fire | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 44 | -12 | 26 |
| 13 | Nashville SCNashville | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 26 |
| 14 | DC United | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 26 |
| 15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 24 | 8 | 2 | 14 | 28 | 47 | -19 | 26 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 52 | 36 | 16 | 52 |
| 2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 48 | 30 | 18 | 47 |
| 3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 51 | 36 | 15 | 44 |
| 4 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 50 | 43 | 7 | 41 |
| 5 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 37 | 31 | 6 | 40 |
| 6 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 38 |
| 7 | Portland TimbersPortland | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 54 | 46 | 8 | 37 |
| 8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 37 |
| 9 | Austin FCAustin | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 34 |
| 10 | Dallas | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 42 | 42 | 0 | 33 |
| 11 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 33 |
| 12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 27 |
| 13 | St Louis City | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 24 |
| 14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 26 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 33 | 61 | -28 | 17 |
