MX23RW : Saturday, August 10 21:29:36| >> :60:430:430:
Philadelphia Union
Leagues Cup | Round of 32
Aug 10, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Talen Energy Stadium
Montreal Impact

Philadelphia
2 - 0
Montreal

Baribo (45+1', 90+7')
Wagner (68'), Mbaizo (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Leagues Cup clash between Philadelphia Union and CF Montreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atletico San Luis 2-3 Montreal
Wednesday, July 31 at 12am in Leagues Cup

We said: Philadelphia Union 1-0 CF Montreal

The Union have made their share of deep runs in major competitions, and that experience should come in handy ahead of another must-win situation on Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 57.6%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 21.25% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.42%) and 1-0 (8.24%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 1-2 (5.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawCF Montreal
57.6% (0.427 0.43) 21.15% (-0.087 -0.09) 21.25% (-0.342 -0.34)
Both teams to score 59.95% (-0.213 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.24% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)37.76% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)60% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.05% (0.11 0.11)12.95% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.58% (0.227 0.23)39.42% (-0.228 -0.23)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.87% (-0.333 -0.33)31.12% (0.332 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.55% (-0.391 -0.39)67.45% (0.39 0.39)
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 57.6%
    CF Montreal 21.25%
    Draw 21.15%
Philadelphia UnionDrawCF Montreal
2-1 @ 9.83% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.42% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
1-0 @ 8.24% (0.052000000000001 0.05)
3-1 @ 6.7% (0.037 0.04)
3-0 @ 5.74% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
3-2 @ 3.91% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.42% (0.034 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.93% (0.055 0.06)
4-2 @ 2% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.4% (0.02 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.2% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 57.6%
1-1 @ 9.62% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.74% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.03% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.52% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 21.15%
1-2 @ 5.61% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-1 @ 4.71% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.75% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.18% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.07% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 21.25%

How you voted: Philadelphia vs Montreal

Philadelphia Union
78.6%
Draw
7.1%
CF Montreal
14.3%
14
Head to Head
Jun 30, 2024 12.30am
Montreal
4-2
Philadelphia
Martinez (36'), Duke (56'), Yankov (89'), Ruan (90+2')
Ruan (90+4')
Sullivan (29'), Bueno (41')
Glesnes (90+5')
Jun 2, 2024 12.30am
Philadelphia
2-2
Montreal
Gazdag (56' pen.), Uhre (58')
Gazdag (39')
Elliott (63')
Sunusi (1'), Piette (66')
Campbell (28'), Yankov (41')
Lassiter (45')
Jun 4, 2023 12.30am
Mar 18, 2023 11.30pm
Montreal
3-2
Philadelphia
Quioto (3' pen., 90+8'), Offor (90')
Uhre (46', 60')
Apr 23, 2022 8pm
Philadelphia
1-1
Montreal
Carranza (21' pen.)
Bedoya (55'), Andres Martinez (82'), Wagner (90+1')
Kamara (59')
Waterman (61'), Miller (90'), Bassong (90+3')
rhs 2.0 Olympic medal table header
CountryGold medalSilver MedalBronze MedalT
ChinaChina37272488
United StatesUnited States334139113
AustraliaAustralia18171449
JapanJapan16101339
FranceFrance15212258
Great BritainGreat Britain14202458
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bournemouth00000000
2Arsenal00000000
3Aston Villa00000000
4Brentford00000000
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton00000000
6Chelsea00000000
7Crystal Palace00000000
8Everton00000000
9Fulham00000000
10Ipswich TownIpswich00000000
11Leicester CityLeicester00000000
12Liverpool00000000
13Manchester CityMan City00000000
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd00000000
15Newcastle UnitedNewcastle00000000
16Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest00000000
17Southampton00000000
18Tottenham HotspurSpurs00000000
19West Ham UnitedWest Ham00000000
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves00000000


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!