| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Boreham Wood | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Chesterfield | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Maidstone United | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Oldham Athletic | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Wrexham | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Torquay United | 2 | 1 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 44.4%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Wrexham |
| 44.4% ( | 25.69% ( | 29.91% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.37% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.56% ( | 50.44% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.63% ( | 72.37% ( |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.35% ( | 22.65% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.71% ( | 56.29% ( |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69% ( | 31% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.69% ( | 67.31% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | Wrexham |
| 1-0 @ 10.42% ( 2-1 @ 9.07% ( 2-0 @ 7.74% ( 3-1 @ 4.49% ( 3-0 @ 3.83% ( 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 4-1 @ 1.67% ( 4-0 @ 1.42% ( 4-2 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.16% Total : 44.4% | 1-1 @ 12.21% 0-0 @ 7.02% ( 2-2 @ 5.31% ( 3-3 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.69% | 0-1 @ 8.23% ( 1-2 @ 7.15% ( 0-2 @ 4.82% ( 1-3 @ 2.79% ( 2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0-3 @ 1.88% ( Other @ 2.97% Total : 29.91% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Wrexham | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 88 | 32 | 56 | 84 |
| 2 | Notts County | 35 | 25 | 8 | 2 | 89 | 32 | 57 | 83 |
| 3 | Woking | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 59 | 37 | 22 | 62 |
| 4 | Barnet | 33 | 17 | 5 | 11 | 64 | 57 | 7 | 56 |
| 5 | Chesterfield | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 55 | 41 | 14 | 55 |
| 6 | Eastleigh | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 42 | 37 | 5 | 54 |
| 7 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 43 | 31 | 12 | 53 |
| 8 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 33 | 13 | 13 | 7 | 40 | 30 | 10 | 52 |
| 9 | Bromley | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 49 | 41 | 8 | 51 |
| 10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 48 |
| 11 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 54 | 59 | -5 | 46 |
| 12 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 46 |
| 13 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 50 | -2 | 42 |
| 14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 42 |
| 15 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 41 |
| 16 | Halifax TownHalifax | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 40 |
| 17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 35 | 11 | 5 | 19 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 38 |
| 18 | York City | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 36 |
| 19 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 32 | 6 | 15 | 11 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 33 |
| 20 | Gateshead | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 40 | 50 | -10 | 33 |
| 21 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 33 |
| 22 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 38 | 60 | -22 | 29 |
| 23 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 39 | 66 | -27 | 27 |
| 24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 35 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 75 | -37 | 24 |
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