| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Wrexham | 44 | 46 | 88 |
| 3 | Solihull Moors | 44 | 38 | 87 |
| 4 | Halifax Town | 44 | 27 | 84 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Grimsby Town | 44 | 22 | 77 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 44 | 18 | 74 |
| 8 | Dagenham & Redbridge | 44 | 27 | 73 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Solihull Moors win with a probability of 46.42%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 28.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Solihull Moors win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Solihull Moors would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Solihull Moors | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 46.42% ( | 25.18% ( | 28.4% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.09% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.92% ( | 49.08% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.84% ( | 71.15% ( |
| Solihull Moors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.83% ( | 21.16% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.97% ( | 54.03% ( |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.61% ( | 31.39% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.24% ( | 67.76% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Solihull Moors | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 1-0 @ 10.31% ( 2-1 @ 9.28% ( 2-0 @ 8.01% ( 3-1 @ 4.8% ( 3-0 @ 4.15% ( 3-2 @ 2.78% ( 4-1 @ 1.87% ( 4-0 @ 1.61% ( 4-2 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 2.52% Total : 46.41% | 1-1 @ 11.95% ( 0-0 @ 6.64% ( 2-2 @ 5.38% ( 3-3 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.18% | 0-1 @ 7.7% ( 1-2 @ 6.93% ( 0-2 @ 4.46% ( 1-3 @ 2.68% ( 2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0-3 @ 1.72% ( Other @ 2.85% Total : 28.4% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Notts County | 33 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 84 | 30 | 54 | 80 |
| 2 | Wrexham | 31 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 81 | 30 | 51 | 75 |
| 3 | Woking | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 56 | 35 | 21 | 58 |
| 4 | Chesterfield | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 53 | 37 | 16 | 54 |
| 5 | Barnet | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 53 |
| 6 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 50 |
| 7 | Bromley | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 47 |
| 8 | Eastleigh | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 38 | 36 | 2 | 47 |
| 9 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 45 |
| 10 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 44 |
| 11 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 42 |
| 12 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 46 | 45 | 1 | 41 |
| 13 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 39 |
| 14 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 33 | 11 | 5 | 17 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 38 |
| 15 | Halifax TownHalifax | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 36 |
| 16 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 35 |
| 17 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 33 | 45 | -12 | 33 |
| 18 | York City | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 32 |
| 19 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 29 | 6 | 14 | 9 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 32 |
| 20 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 30 |
| 21 | Gateshead | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 29 |
| 22 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 34 | 53 | -19 | 29 |
| 23 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 38 | 61 | -23 | 26 |
| 24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 32 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 22 |
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