Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 45.89%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 27.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 0-1 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
