Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 48.02%. A win for Dagenham & Redbridge had a probability of 26.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Dagenham & Redbridge win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
