Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 48.02%. A win for Dagenham & Redbridge had a probability of 26.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Dagenham & Redbridge win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
Result | ||
Chesterfield | Draw | Dagenham & Redbridge |
48.02% | 25.68% | 26.3% |
Both teams to score 50.93% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.55% | 52.45% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.88% | 74.13% |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.15% | 21.85% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.92% | 55.08% |
Dagenham & Redbridge Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.18% | 34.82% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.44% | 71.56% |
Score Analysis |
Chesterfield | Draw | Dagenham & Redbridge |
1-0 @ 11.57% 2-1 @ 9.28% 2-0 @ 8.8% 3-1 @ 4.71% 3-0 @ 4.46% 3-2 @ 2.48% 4-1 @ 1.79% 4-0 @ 1.7% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.28% Total : 48.02% | 1-1 @ 12.2% 0-0 @ 7.61% 2-2 @ 4.9% Other @ 0.97% Total : 25.67% | 0-1 @ 8.03% 1-2 @ 6.44% 0-2 @ 4.23% 1-3 @ 2.26% 2-3 @ 1.72% 0-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.12% Total : 26.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wrexham | 42 | 32 | 7 | 3 | 109 | 41 | 68 | 103 |
2 | Notts County | 43 | 30 | 10 | 3 | 108 | 39 | 69 | 100 |
3 | Woking | 42 | 22 | 10 | 10 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 76 |
4 | Chesterfield | 42 | 22 | 9 | 11 | 69 | 47 | 22 | 75 |
5 | Barnet | 42 | 20 | 9 | 13 | 73 | 64 | 9 | 69 |
6 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 42 | 17 | 15 | 10 | 49 | 35 | 14 | 66 |
7 | Eastleigh | 42 | 19 | 8 | 15 | 51 | 48 | 3 | 65 |
8 | Bromley | 42 | 16 | 15 | 11 | 61 | 51 | 10 | 63 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 42 | 17 | 9 | 16 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 60 |
10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 42 | 17 | 7 | 18 | 57 | 68 | -11 | 58 |
11 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 41 | 15 | 11 | 15 | 60 | 59 | 1 | 56 |
12 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 41 | 15 | 11 | 15 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 56 |
13 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 42 | 14 | 11 | 17 | 61 | 74 | -13 | 53 |
14 | Halifax TownHalifax | 41 | 14 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 52 |
15 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 42 | 13 | 12 | 17 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 51 |
16 | Gateshead | 40 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 55 | 55 | 0 | 49 |
17 | York City | 43 | 13 | 10 | 20 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 49 |
18 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 43 | 13 | 10 | 20 | 46 | 60 | -14 | 49 |
19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 42 | 14 | 7 | 21 | 60 | 86 | -26 | 49 |
20 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 42 | 12 | 9 | 21 | 58 | 72 | -14 | 45 |
21 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 42 | 11 | 10 | 21 | 51 | 70 | -19 | 43 |
22 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 42 | 7 | 18 | 17 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 39 |
R | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 43 | 8 | 10 | 25 | 46 | 80 | -34 | 34 |
24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 43 | 5 | 10 | 28 | 43 | 92 | -49 | 25 |
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