Having scored 21 goals in their last six matches, Feyenoord can surely find the net at least once in front of their own fans; capitalising on Roma's frailties outside the Italian capital. That could see the Rotterdam side take a slim lead into next week's return leg.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 60.23%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Roma had a probability of 17.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Roma win it was 0-1 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Feyenoord in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Feyenoord.
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