| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Solihull Moors | 4 | 4 | 8 | 
| 4 | Chesterfield | 4 | 3 | 8 | 
| 5 | Wrexham | 4 | 4 | 7 | 
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barnet | 4 | 5 | 10 | 
| 2 | Wealdstone | 4 | 2 | 9 | 
| 3 | Solihull Moors | 4 | 4 | 8 | 
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 58.06%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Barnet had a probability of 19.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a Barnet win it was 0-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Barnet | 
| 58.06% (  -0.02) | 22.48% (  -0.05) | 19.46% (  0.08) | 
| Both teams to score 52.48% (  0.3) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 53.73% (  0.34) | 46.27% (  -0.34) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 31.44% (  0.32) | 68.56% (  -0.32) | 
| Chesterfield Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 84.36% (  0.11) | 15.64% (  -0.11) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 55.34% (  0.2) | 44.66% (  -0.2) | 
| Barnet Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 62.21% (  0.28) | 37.79% (  -0.28) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.44% (  0.27) | 74.56% (  -0.27) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Chesterfield | Draw | Barnet | 
| 1-0 @ 10.96% (  -0.12) 2-0 @ 10.17% (  -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.9% (  0.01) 3-0 @ 6.29% (  -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.12% (  0.03) 3-2 @ 2.98% (  0.04) 4-0 @ 2.92% (  0) 4-1 @ 2.84% (  0.02) 4-2 @ 1.38% (  0.02) 5-0 @ 1.08% (  0) 5-1 @ 1.05% (  0.01) Other @ 2.36% Total : 58.05% | 1-1 @ 10.67% (  -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.91% (  -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.82% (  0.04) 3-3 @ 0.97% (  0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.48% | 0-1 @ 5.75% (  -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.19% (  0.02) 0-2 @ 2.8% (  0) 1-3 @ 1.69% (  0.02) 2-3 @ 1.56% (  0.02) 0-3 @ 0.91% (  0.01) Other @ 1.56% Total : 19.46% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Wrexham | 27 | 20 | 5 | 2 | 70 | 23 | 47 | 65 | 
| 2 | Notts County | 27 | 18 | 8 | 1 | 69 | 25 | 44 | 62 | 
| 3 | Chesterfield | 24 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 50 | 27 | 23 | 52 | 
| 4 | Woking | 26 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 47 | 25 | 22 | 52 | 
| 5 | Barnet | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 44 | 41 | 3 | 41 | 
| 6 | Bromley | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 40 | 35 | 5 | 39 | 
| 7 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 39 | 
| 8 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 33 | 21 | 12 | 38 | 
| 9 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 37 | 
| 10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 40 | 48 | -8 | 36 | 
| 11 | Eastleigh | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 32 | 33 | -1 | 35 | 
| 12 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 33 | 
| 13 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 37 | 36 | 1 | 33 | 
| 14 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 28 | 10 | 3 | 15 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 33 | 
| 15 | York City | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 32 | 
| 16 | Halifax TownHalifax | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 24 | 33 | -9 | 32 | 
| 17 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 44 | 64 | -20 | 30 | 
| 18 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 29 | 
| 19 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 25 | 5 | 12 | 8 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 27 | 
| 20 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 27 | 
| 21 | Gateshead | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 22 | 
| 22 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 22 | 
| 23 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 28 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 33 | 55 | -22 | 22 | 
| 24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 29 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 33 | 65 | -32 | 21 | 
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